HVAC Government Contracts in Minnesota
Statewide ranked opportunities and likely upcoming recompetes for facilities contractors across Minnesota.
Market Intelligence —
HVAC in Minnesota
Minnesota's HVAC Services market is highly concentrated: Unknown alone accounts for 41% of the state's 44 active opportunities in Q4 2026, with Unknown, Minneapolis, Saint Paul collectively representing 80% of all activity. This concentration pattern creates a two-tier market — contractors must establish presence in Unknown to access the majority of deal flow, while the remaining 5 cities offer lower-volume but less competitive opportunities.
The top HVAC Services markets in Minnesota as of Q4 2026 are: Unknown (18 opportunities, 41% of state activity); Minneapolis (14 opportunities, 32% of state activity); Saint Paul (3 opportunities, 7% of state activity). Unknown leads by a factor of 1.3× over the second-ranked city, Minneapolis, reflecting federal installation density and agency office concentration in the Unknown metro. The statewide average is 6 opportunities per city across 8 markets.
Across Minnesota, HVAC Services procurement distributes across 5 buying agencies, led by Department of Veterans Affairs (40%), FEDERAL PRISON SYSTEM / BUREAU OF PRISONS (20%), U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (17%). With Department of Veterans Affairs at 40% market share and $10.1M in total state spending, the market offers a balance of focused and diversified strategies — contractors can specialize in the top agency or build a broader pipeline across multiple buyers. On the vendor side, the market is incumbent-heavy: the top 3 contractors — TRANE U.S. INC., HORWITZ LLC, CALDAIA CONTROLS LLC — hold 79% of recent awards, meaning new entrants face significant barriers unless targeting recompetes or set-asides.
Analysis computed from SAM.gov and USAspending.gov data · Updated daily
Minnesota has 44 open hvac contract opportunities as of 2026-10-19, with 0 likely recompetes identified. Top markets include Unknown, Minneapolis, Saint Paul.
44
Open Opportunities
0
Likely Recompetes
Department of Veterans Affairs
Top Agency
Unknown
Top City
Key Insights —
HVAC in Minnesota
Majority small-business: 75% of active opportunities carry a small-business set-aside designation.
Highly concentrated market: the top 3 incumbent vendors hold 79% of recent awards across 5 tracked contractors.
Computed from SAM.gov and USAspending.gov data · Updated daily
Top Opportunities This Week
| Score↕ | Title↕ | Location↕ | Agency↕ | Due Date↕ | Set-Aside↕ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 4120--618-24-115 Replace Coil MAU #3 and #38 | Minneapolis | VETERANS AFFAIRS, DEPARTMENT OF.VETERANS AFFAIRS, DEPARTMENT OF.NETWORK CONTRACT OFFICE 23 (36C263) | — | SDVOSBC |
| 61 | Replace EVAP Cooler in Greenhouses - St. Paul, MN | Saint Paul | AGRICULTURE, DEPARTMENT OF.AGRICULTURAL RESEARCH SERVICE.USDA ARS AFM APD | Aug 14, 2026 | SBA |
| 61 | Replace EVAP Cooler in Greenhouses - St. Paul, MN | Saint Paul | AGRICULTURE, DEPARTMENT OF.AGRICULTURAL RESEARCH SERVICE.USDA ARS AFM APD | Aug 14, 2026 | SBA |
| 61 | HVAC Preventive Maintenance, Superior National Forest | — | AGRICULTURE, DEPARTMENT OF.FOREST SERVICE.USDA-FS, CSA EAST 7 | Aug 11, 2026 | SBA |
| 61 | Backflow Testing Services | Minneapolis | VETERANS AFFAIRS, DEPARTMENT OF.VETERANS AFFAIRS, DEPARTMENT OF.NETWORK CONTRACT OFFICE 23 (36C263) | Jul 15, 2026 | SDVOSBC |
| 61 | Combines Solicitation Fort Snelling National Cemetery HVAC Repair | Minneapolis | VETERANS AFFAIRS, DEPARTMENT OF | Jun 12, 2026 | SBA |
| 61 | Combined Solicitation Fort Snelling National Cemetery HVAC Repair | Minneapolis | VETERANS AFFAIRS, DEPARTMENT OF.VETERANS AFFAIRS, DEPARTMENT OF.NATIONAL CEMETERY ADMIN (36C786) | Jun 12, 2026 | SBA |
| 61 | Notice of Intent to Award a BPA Call Order | Duluth | AGRICULTURE, DEPARTMENT OF.FOREST SERVICE.USDA-FS, CSA EAST 13 | Jun 8, 2026 | SBA |
| 61 | J045--Annual RPZ Backflow Preventer Testing - MPLS Annual test/inspection of approximately one hundred-twenty (120) Reduced Pressure Zone Device (RPZ's) | — | VETERANS AFFAIRS, DEPARTMENT OF.VETERANS AFFAIRS, DEPARTMENT OF.NETWORK CONTRACT OFFICE 23 (36C263) | May 28, 2026 | SBA |
| 61 | Minneapolis Air Route Traffic Control Center (ZMP) Multiple Projects | Farmington | TRANSPORTATION, DEPARTMENT OF.FEDERAL AVIATION ADMINISTRATION.697DCK REGIONAL ACQUISITIONS SVCS | Sep 12, 2025 | NONE |
Showing 10 of 30 results
Recompetes
| Score↕ | Location↕ | Agency↕ | Incumbent↕ | Est. Window↕ | Takeover Signal↕ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No recompete candidates identified for Minnesota yet. | |||||
Across Minnesota, hvac opportunities span federal agencies with facilities in major metropolitan areas. There are currently 44 active opportunities. Top cities include Unknown, Minneapolis, Saint Paul.
Data updated:
Top Buying Agencies
| Agency↕ | Awards↕ | Est. Spend↕ |
|---|---|---|
| Department of Veterans Affairs | 14 | $6.4M |
| FEDERAL PRISON SYSTEM / BUREAU OF PRISONS | 7 | $720K |
| U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service | 6 | $284K |
| Federal Aviation Administration | 4 | $2.5M |
| Indian Health Service | 4 | $135K |
Top Incumbent Vendors
Top Cities in Minnesota
| City↕ | Opportunities↕ |
|---|---|
| Unknown | 18 |
| Minneapolis | 14 |
| Saint Paul | 3 |
| Sandstone | 3 |
| Ogema | 2 |
| Farmington | 2 |
| Duluth | 1 |
| St. Cloud | 1 |
| Deer River | 0 |
| Little Falls | 0 |
How We Rank These
We score each opportunity on a 0–100 scale using six transparent factors: service fit, contract value, timing urgency, geographic relevance, competition level, and agency buying appetite. Data sourced from SAM.gov and USAspending.gov, refreshed daily.
Read full methodologyExplore Other States
Other Services in Minnesota
Frequently Asked Questions
How many hvac contracts are there in Minnesota?
Minnesota has 44 active federal hvac opportunities right now. RecompeteIQ tracks and ranks all opportunities daily from SAM.gov.
What are the top cities for hvac contracts in Minnesota?
Unknown, Minneapolis, Saint Paul are the top markets based on opportunity count.
Who are the top hvac contractors in Minnesota?
The leading incumbent vendors include TRANE U.S. INC., HORWITZ LLC, CALDAIA CONTROLS LLC. See the Incumbent Vendors table for full rankings.
When do hvac contracts come up for rebid in Minnesota?
Most hvac contracts follow 30–48 month cycles. The "Recompetes" section shows contracts estimated to be recompeted within the next 12 months based on historical award patterns.
How can I get notified about new opportunities?
Sign up for the weekly Opportunity Radar to receive a ranked shortlist of the top opportunities across Minnesota.
Cite this page
APA
RecompeteIQ. (2026). HVAC Government Contracts in Minnesota. Retrieved 2026-10-19, from https://recompeteiq.com/state/mn/hvac-contractors
Chicago
RecompeteIQ. "HVAC Government Contracts in Minnesota." Accessed 2026-10-19. https://recompeteiq.com/state/mn/hvac-contractors.
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